(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . More Russian stuff blowing up, plus Ukraine launches another attack against Russian ships [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2023-09-14 Ukraine follows up its strike against the Sevastopol shipyard with an attack on two more Russian ships. x Footage of a maritime drone attack on a Russian warship, presumably the "Vasily Bykov", has appeared. pic.twitter.com/6L3LDLrY3P — NEXTA (@nexta_tv) September 14, 2023 Video has appeared of the damage to the landing ship Minsk at Sevastopol. x Video of the damaged Landing Ship "Minsk" after hitting a ship repair plant in Sevastopol. pic.twitter.com/KUO5KE3zmO — NEXTA (@nexta_tv) September 14, 2023 Folks at the Defense Ministry need to improve their communications with the folks in the field. Andriivka, which is south of Klishchiivka and Bakhmut, was declared liberated, then the brigade in the field said, no it hasn’t. x NOTE: The official channel of the 3rd separate assault brigade refutes the claim from Deputy Minister of Defense Hanna Maliar that Andriivka is under Ukrainian control. They say that fighting is still ongoing in both Andriivka and Klishchiivka. pic.twitter.com/EkvdllHlel — NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) September 14, 2023 What constitutes “liberated” is probably debatable. Can a village that is now gone really be liberated? That’s a damn shame about that expensive AD system. Yep. A damn shame. This system probably actually costs a few million dollars if it’s built honestly. But once you add in the kickbacks, the payoffs and the materials stolen or diverted elsewhere, there’s no telling the real cost. x «At night near Yevpatoria, the Russian anti-aircraft complex "Triumph" worth $1.2 billion was destroyed. Drones and Neptune missiles were used.» - Ukrainska Pravda media according to a source in the Security Service of Ukraine. https://t.co/1waO5ehXlL https://t.co/ue1J3Yep3u pic.twitter.com/YQM05RWb3z — Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 14, 2023 This video shows the big bavovna starting at about the 4:30 mark. x Very detailed and clear footage of todays morning UAV/Missile attack on Yevpatoriya area, Crimea. https://t.co/ue1J3Yep3u pic.twitter.com/BdwxE3OL3q — Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 14, 2023 As Scooby Doo says, “Rut roh.” Somebody’s in trouble. x The location of the Triumph was established thanks to a tourist who took a picture near the complex. So in a year, #ruZZians haven't even bothered to move their armaments 🤡😂😂😂#Yevpatoria#CrimeaIsUkraine pic.twitter.com/guscRs09WN — Aurora Borealis 🤫 (@aborealis940) September 14, 2023 A big pile of anti-tank mines is blown up. Good. x National Guard unit OMEGA destroyed a pile of Russian anti tank mines with the help of a drone. pic.twitter.com/vNqR183neC — NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) September 14, 2023 A cope cage might provide protection from a drone dropping a grenade from above but it isn’t going to thwart a kamikaze drone approaching horizontally. x The 59th mechanized brigade destroyed a Russian BMP-1 with a cope cage with an FPV drone. pic.twitter.com/wpzOavd2PM — NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) September 14, 2023 Or from a well-maneuvered drone . x Robert “Magyar” released another video. Several of his FPV-birds struck this Russian T-72, with the last one being carefully guided into the abandoned tank and eliminating it for good. Full video: https://t.co/OcGnX7wqQm#Ukraine pic.twitter.com/NhZUiMvGPP — (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) September 14, 2023 Speaking of drones, this is a long thread looking at the state of the drone war in Ukraine. I have embedded some of the more interesting points. x Just like with the war as a whole, with drones you see a pattern over time: Ukraine with the edge over Russia (especially in the use of civilian DJIs for frontline recon) for the first months of of full-scale thanks to initiative, innovation, and flexibility on the battlefield. 2 pic.twitter.com/9oXKexaKI9 — Francis Farrell (@francisjfarrell) September 13, 2023 x But to focus on FPV- here is a clear example of when you should be careful drawing conclusions from cool snippets of action posted to social media. The specialised drone unit Adam Group which I was with reported a 10-15% rate of success on FPV flights, depending on the pilot. 6 pic.twitter.com/4Pp6H1zTt0 — Francis Farrell (@francisjfarrell) September 13, 2023 A Russian soldier in a trench fires at a drone coming at him. x FPV drone vs Russian soldiers. Looks like a draw. By the “Wild Unit” of the 82 nd brigade of Ukraine. https://t.co/5qDuFIdnwk pic.twitter.com/PvhLie36B8 — Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 14, 2023 American-made RQ-20 PUMA recon drone vs. Russian missile. Drone wins. x The American-made RQ-20 PUMA reconnaissance UAV of the Ukrainian Armed Forces miraculously survives a Russian air defense missile hit.https://t.co/EGFK4ZBSyd pic.twitter.com/pgr8hJ5YD2 — Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 14, 2023 The thing that jumped out at me was the comment about 800 “refuseniks and deserters in the forest belt.” x Russian "military correspondent" published a first-hand account from Klishchiivka and Andriivka (Bakhmut area). He says he has no reason not to believe this. "Egor, hi. I'd like to tell you about Klishchiivka and Andriivka. I was just evacuated from there yesterday. I'd like… pic.twitter.com/prunC06JnF — Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 14, 2023 "Egor, hi. I'd like to tell you about Klishchiivka and Andriivka. I was just evacuated from there yesterday. I'd like to tell you about our command. A tank's been kicking us out for 24 hours. Yesterday, at about 3 a.m., it got mad that we were holding on till the end and started to demolish the hut. I was concussed as well as two of my fellow soldiers. I don't know how, by some miracle, we survived.We were hit with everything from shrapnel ammunition to cluster munitions. We asked for artillery support. We were told there were no shells. How were we supposed to hold it? The tank spent three ammunitions on us. For 3 men. And ours supposedly ran out of shells. We were f**king crazy about that, sh*t. And now they're throwing sticks at special forces. We stayed until the end. Akhmat left the day before yesterday. There's 800 refuseniks and deserters in the forest belt. The 42nd Division left yesterday. We stayed with three squads until the end, until the advance started. We lost two of our guys on the way out". Don’t blow me up! Blow up that guy over there. x Russian soldier drops his rifle and puts his hands in the air after seeing Ukrainian drone, then points to his still armed comrade trying to run away.#Russian #RussiaIsLosing #RussiaIsATerroristState #UkraineWillWin #Ukrainian #UkrainianArmy #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/V4PNSuOBSl — Intermarium 24 (@intermarium24) September 11, 2023 This tiny island is in the mouth of the Dnipro River and just off the coast from the Kinburn Spit. x #Ukraine has control over Pervomayskyy Island of #Mykolaiv Oblast, near the Kinburn Spit. It is unclear when this happened. Map: https://t.co/zDDtHpvfYW Telegram: https://t.co/jLsHjdQIhH pic.twitter.com/46hmpfmfGA — Global War Monitor 🇺🇦🇺🇳 (@Global_Wars) September 12, 2023 A good explanation of how Storm Shadow cruise missiles find their targets. x The threat of cruise missile attacks on the Black Sea Fleet in port has become very real. These missiles (Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG/Neptune land attack variant) use infrared imaging with scene/imaging matching for terminal homing. Hence why Russia painted their ships to break up… — Tyler Rogoway (@Aviation_Intel) September 13, 2023 The threat of cruise missile attacks on the Black Sea Fleet in port has become very real. These missiles (Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG/Neptune land attack variant) use infrared imaging with scene/imaging matching for terminal homing. Hence why Russia painted their ships to break up their IR silhouettes. This was not done to make it hard to spot them in satellite imagery. That does not work even in mediocre commercial imagery nor does it necessitate the sides of the hulls being painted to match. If the missile does not match its target based on preset threshold parameters it aborts its attack. These ships began being painted like that just as Storm Shadow arrived. Now land attack Neptune in play with greater range. Also note the two ships hit were a submarine and a amphib that was not painted in that manner. They were also static in drydock where not much changes in their surroundings between initial targeting and attack. We have written about this for months now, see linked posts in this thread, but the Black Sea Fleet could be under extreme threat after this attack, especially if indeed cruise missiles were employed. Lukashenko has been adroit at keeping Belarus out of the war and appeasing Putin with obsequiousness. But his luck might be running out. Lock his ass up. x ⚡️⚡️The European parliament has motioned for a resolution that, among other things, considers Lukashenko responsible for kidnapping Ukrainian children and calls on the ICC to consider an international arrest warrant for him. Lukashenko's regime is considered an accomplice in the… pic.twitter.com/AW0psM7kTg — Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 13, 2023 Shoigu: How do I know? Do I look like I’m in charge or something? x Shoigu was asked whether Russia will win. Watch for his answer. pic.twitter.com/IIJgM4j2mr — Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 13, 2023 Russia’s newest aircraft. When you realize that Russia’s promise to protect you is as worthless as Trump’s promise to pay your legal bills. x 🇦🇲 Pashinyan stated that it is necessary to give up Russia as a guarantor of security. At the same time, he acknowledged that there is a long way to go before Western countries can be seen as offering the full support that Armenia needs. pic.twitter.com/VAzkJF4mB7 — MAKS 23 👀🇺🇦 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) September 13, 2023 Wait! Is that Ammo Dump Jesus? What’s he doing in Indonesia? x A cloud resembling a human shape, Indonesia Or what does it look like?pic.twitter.com/6DN2JYSuXw — Figen (@TheFigen_) September 13, 2023 Putin: You don’t happen to have any air defense missiles I could buy, do you? Together forever now. 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