(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . Just the Stats, Ma'am: Weekly Canvass Wrap-up from AZ, GA, NV, OHIO! & PA [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2023-10-14 But we also find their literature, usually in the gutters of the street. We still have a 50-50 (Dem/unaffiliated) voter universe, depending upon the state, but we walk by a lot of GOP/conserva-tive homes. This week, our volunteers saw or found evidence of conservative canvassing teams in Ohio and Arizona . So their presence is diminishing elsewhere (not in Ohio; it’s growing there). Since March 4, Hope Springs from Field volunteers have been knocking on doors (as weather permitted) in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin and Virginia. These all are critical states that will determine who is President and which party controls the Senate in 2025. So, not much at stake. 2,087 volunteers came out to knock on doors in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Ohio & Pennsylvania last Saturday (we ended canvassing in Michigan, Montana and Wisconsin for this year). We continue to knock on doors with our systemic Deep Organizing, conversational approach designed to engage voters at their doors and elicit valuable information that will help Democrats during our Fall 2024 (and, in the case of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia, 2023) GOTV efforts. We also feel like this approach is a great introduction to canvassing for the volunteers who have never knocked on doors before, and especially for those volunteers who initially feel intimidated by the activity. We make it easy! Volunteers feel great about it. Hope Springs volunteers knocked on 155,439 doors. The peak in the graphic to the left was during GOTV in Ohio during the Summer. The dip obviously details the loss of efforts in the states of Florida, Michigan, Montana, North Carolina, Wisconsin & Virginia. Summertime bliss! Still, the commitment of the volunteers who remain is notable. Especially those who walked in the rain (sprinkles) in Ohio last week. Volunteers got to talk to 12,261 voters this week (342 more than the prior weekend). They opened the door and at least took our lit. A very high percentage of them will respond to our query about whether they are registered to vote at this address. Anywhere between 55% to 65% of the voters we actually talk to will agree to answer questions on our Issues Survey. Every Saturday, canvass starts after a training session. Some of our volunteers call it a “jam session” (not exactly sure why). But we have some practices we like to share with our volunteers to help them feel more productive. Our number 1 piece of advise (something all our organizers are supposed to start with) when training volunteers is, Smile! When i lead trainings, i tell them to “Smile, because no one you talk to today will remember a single thing you say. But they will always remember the impression you left.” Hope Springs from Field volunteers walk with an Issues Canvass, where we ask voters what they think and whether they had a message for their elected officials. 7,650 voters answered questions from the survey, in whole or in part. This does not include voters in Ohio who told us they would be voting, but didn’t answer any of the regular survey questions. Hundreds of voters did that last Saturday in Ohio. By far, the highest response numbers always are in the second question, about what issue voters think “is most urgent” at this time (Q2). The “send a message to your Member” (Q5) is also very popular. And we are getting a lot of responses to the “Is there a single issue that will determine how you vote” question (Q7), too — something we added in 2022 because we were finding voters answering differently to the Top Issue question than to what was actually driving their vote. This is incredibly valuable information for those who do persuasion canvassing next year! Hope Springs from Field PAC has been knocking on doors since March in a grassroots effort to prepare the 2024 Electoral Battleground in what has been called the First and Second Rounds of a traditional Five Round Canvass. We are canvassing Democrats and unaffiliated voters with a systematic approach that reminds them not only that Democrats care, but Democrats are determined to deliver the best government possible to all Americans. Obviously, we rely on grassroots support, so if you support field/grassroots organizing, voter registration (and follow-up) and our efforts to protect our voters, we would certainly appreciate your support: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/hope4ohio Hope Springs from Field understands that volunteer to voter personal interactions are critical. Knocking on doors has repeatedly been found to be the most successful tactic to get voters to cast a ballot and that is the goal of what we do. We ask voters who talk to us whether they approve or disapprove of the job the president, their incumbent Senator (up for election this year), and how their governor is doing. After the primaries, we also ask about the Democratic Senate and nominees. But a very high percentage of the voters who provide responses to the Issues Survey will tell us what they think about their president, or senator or governor. But especially president. In Ohio, we ask a supplemental question related to Issue 1 about the constitutional amendment on Ohio’s ballots in November ensuring Reproductive Freedom in the state. We took a Summer break in Arizona and resumed knocking on doors last month. 52% of the voters we talked to on Saturday had a favorable impression of President Biden. 5% of voters approved of the job Senator Sinema was doing. We also ask about the likely Democratic nominee for Senate and Ruben Gallego’s job approval was 52% this week. Obviously, Arizona is a critical race for both the Presidential and the Senate next year. 54% also had a favorable impression of Governor Hobbs last week. In Georgia, we see that there is no Senate race next year, but it remains a key component of our Electoral College map. We also have a core group of volunteers devoted to keeping Georgia blue in face of its history. Plus we are still finding voters who need photo IDs, and we have been putting together Photo ID days at Registrar’s Offices in the state for voters to get their free Voter IDs. But our organizers and volunteers choose to continuing canvassing efforts in Georgia. 53% of the voters we talked to approved of the job President Biden was doing. Georgia doesn’t have a Senate election this cycle, our efforts here is a pure Electoral College play. 39% approved of the job Governor Kemp was doing. When we started knocking on doors in the Atlanta metro region, Kemp’s approval increased in comparison to the results we saw last year in Georgia’s Black Belt. In Nevada, 51% of the voters Hope Springs from Field volunteers talked to approved of the job President Biden was doing while 9% disapproved. 65% had a favorable impression of the job Jacky Rosen was doing; 8% disapproved. 29% of voters approved of the job Governor Lombardo was doing and 32% disapproved. We did have volunteers who said they were still bitter about Lombardo winning election last year (i feel the same way about Sen Johnson winning in Wisconsin). In Ohio, 53% of the voters we talked to on Saturday approved of the job President Biden was doing. 9% expressed disapproval. 67% approved of the job Sherrod Brown was doing; 5% disapproved. 25% approved of the job that Governor DeWine was doing and 41% disapproved. We are starting to narrow our walk universe and include more Democrats for the November election. But there’s a lot of stability in these numbers now. For now. Issue 1 isn’t the only item on the Ohio ballot this November. Some of our volunteers are also distributing lit for Issue 2, but it isn’t our focus. We are in the 5 major metro suburban areas and we have vols in all 5 of these doing that. In the Philadelphia suburbs, the voters we spoke with gave Biden a 52% job approval rating; 6% disapproved. 65% of the voters we talked to approved of the job Bob Casey was doing in the Senate and only 6% disapproved. Governor Shapiro received a 52% approval rating last week. 9% disapproved. I really expected Biden’s numbers to improve since he had been doing better in eastern Pennsylvania than he was doing in the Alleghany region. If you support our grassroots efforts to register voters at their doors, strengthen voter support for Democrats, turn out voters and protect the vote, please help: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/hopemobilization Each week, we ask voters what is the “most urgent issue facing” us today. Israel jumped up everywhere (including Georgia). Still lots of concern about the Economy and Rising Prices. Political Stability continues to motivate voters, not just on this question (Top Issue facing the nation). Georgia seems particularly affected by those, or, more specifically, the Atlanta metro region. It seems to be connected to the Trump Trials. Labor Issues are also very prominent right now. 41 people filled out new voter registration forms for their states during last weekend’s canvassing. I write forms but most often these are completed on a tablet from their state’s election administrative website. Another 198 voters updated their address, as required by HAVA. We differentiate between the two, though, because brand new voters are often ignored by campaigns and we hope to compensate for that somewhat by having volunteers send them post cards before the election and they are also getting robocalls thanking them for registering. You can see that the number of voters registered is not a function of the number of volunteers present or doors knocked. Clearly, they help, but there’s no guarantee that more doors equals more voters registered. Even though registering voters is a primary rationale behind early canvassing, it is not the only one. Just wanted to point that out. We collected 565 Constituent Service Request Forms last week (more than 100 more than last week!). In general, we send these to Democratic elected officials responsible for the requested functions, but if the appropriate office is held by a Republican, we still send it along. For Democrats, though, we encourage them to reach out immediately to the voter who filled out the CSR and let them know they are working on the issue. This credit-taking is enormously valuable to the Democratic office-holder. We continue to walk with Incident Reports, and we ask people who say they are concerned about the upcoming general election if they want to fill one out. Last Saturday, 7 voters filled out Incident Reports, detailing acts of voter intimidation or voter suppression they witnessed in a prior election. We pass along Incident Reports to the Lawyer’s Committee for Civil Rights and NALEO (those that correspond to Hispanic precincts), and send copies to state Democratic Party committees. But our purpose is to combine this information with the two independent databases of voting incidents to look for patterns before the election and use that information for warning district, state and U.S. attorneys’ offices that we could see those patterns resurface on election day. We will also use it to target Election Day Protection activity. By starting early, and aiming towards super-compliance with these really, really onerous provisions in some states, Hope Springs from Field PAC seeks to undermine that strategy, while informing voters about the new laws and regulations aimed at them. There’s a lot of work to be done, but fortunately, the three states that are making it most difficult are also states in which you can knock on doors at least 10 months out of the year. And, with your help, we will be there, getting our people to super-comply with these restrictive provisions. I am aware of the volume of data presented in this post. But it is the result of the data we collect at the door, to be entered in VAN and accessible by all Democratic candidates who utilize VAN this Fall. The focus on the “horse-race” aspect of this data is unintentional, because the data is what the it is. It is useful for Democratic candidates and provides paths to victory for data-driven candidates (which most campaigns are these days). We really do need financial support to continue these efforts. If you are able to support our efforts to protect Democratic voters, especially in minority communities, expand the electorate, and believe in grassroots efforts to increase voter participation and election protection, please help: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/hopemobilization If you would rather send a check, you can follow that link for our mailing address, as well. Thank you for your support. This work depends on you! [END] --- [1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/10/14/2199126/-Just-the-Stats-Ma-am-Weekly-Canvass-Wrap-up-from-AZ-GA-NV-OHIO-PA?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=latest_community&pm_medium=web Published and (C) by Daily Kos Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified. via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds: gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/