(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . Ukraine Invasion Day 607: counteroffensive continues in Bakhmut and Zaporizhia [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2023-10-22 Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on 22 October, and Russian forces conducted a series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine. x German-supplied M3 Amphibious Rig bridging ferries appear to have been integral to Ukraine's success in crossing the Dnipro river with heavy equipment to continue to liberate occupied territories on the way to Crimea. pic.twitter.com/GnKWAuQ5j9 — Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) October 22, 2023 Russian forces are funneling additional forces to the Avdiivka front despite ongoing challenges with frontal mechanized assaults and the failure of a renewed push on October 19-20. Russian forces are likely once again pausing following a failed major push which suffered heavy losses. Another Russian source allegedly serving in the Avdiivka direction claimed that Ukrainian forces did not conduct counterattacks in his unspecified sector of the front.[3] Geolocated footage published on October 21 indicates that Russian forces recently made marginal advances southeast of Pervomaiske (11km southwest of Avdiivka).[4] The invasion forces continue to launch attacks towards Stepove, hitting Ukrainian minefields and prepared defensive positions. Nevertheless, Russians made minor gains towards the industry area north of Avdiivka. Ukrainian defenders launched a localized counter-attack south-west of Sieverne. It seems Ukrainian troops were able to regain control over the previously lost positions. 59th Motorized Brigade repelled a Russian attack towards Pervomaiske. (militaryland.net/...) Russian forces conducted a series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine on October 22. Ukrainian military officials reported that Russian forces launched eight S-300 missiles, a Kh-59 missile, three Shahed-131/136 drones, and two drones of an unspecified type at targets in Ukraine and that Ukrainian air defenses destroyed the three Shahed drones and the Kh-59 missile.[12] Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces struck the “Nova Poshta” terminal near Kharkiv City as well as Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast with S-300 missiles.[13] Ukrainian Air Force Spokesperson Colonel Yuriy Ihnat specified that reports about drones of an unspecified type refer to makeshift Russian drones constructed from simple materials, which include engines acquired from AliExpress.[14] www.understandingwar.org/... . @LeaderMcConnell says "a significant portion" of Ukraine aid from Congress is being spent in states to make weapons. "We're rebuilding our industrial base. The Ukrainians are destroying the army of one of our biggest rivals. I have a hard time finding anything wrong with that." POTUS BIDEN: So, if we don’t stop Putin’s appetite for power and control in Ukraine, he won’t limit himself just to Ukraine. He’s — Putin has already threated to “remind” — quote, “remind” Poland that their western land was a gift from Russia. One of his top advisors, a former president of Russia, has called Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania Russia’s “Baltic provinces.” These are all NATO Allies. For 75 years, NATO has kept peace in Europe and has been the cornerstone of American security. And if Putin attacks a NATO Ally, we will defend every inch of NATO which the treaty requires and calls for. We will have something that we do not seek — make it clear: we do not seek — we do not seek to have American troops fighting in Russia or fighting against Russia. Beyond Europe, we know that our allies and, maybe most importantly, our adversaries and competitors are watching. They’re watching our response in Ukraine as well. And if we walk away and let Putin erase Ukraine’s independence, would-be aggressors around the world would be emboldened to try the same. The risk of conflict and chaos could spread in other parts of the world — in the Indo-Pacific, in the Middle East — especially in the Middle East. www.whitehouse.gov/... Key Takeaways: Russian forces are funneling additional forces to the Avdiivka front despite ongoing challenges with frontal mechanized assaults and the failure of a renewed push on October 19-20. Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast on October 22. Russian forces conducted a series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine on October 22. The nationalist pro-war Russian information space is reckoning with the possibility of a major demographic decline by weaponizing anti-migrant rhetoric. A prominent Russian milblogger and frontline commander criticized Russian top-down censorship campaigns. Deceased Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin's ideological and rhetorical campaign against the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) has largely become decoupled from the issue of the Wagner Group and appears to have outlived Prigozhin himself. Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and advanced in some areas on October 22. Russian authorities are intensifying mobilization efforts targeting Central Asian migrant communities. Russian occupation authorities continue to use cultural and education programs to forcibly Russify Ukrainian children. www.understandingwar.org/.... x ⚡️ WAR IN #UKRAINE - OCT 22 ■ Engagements remain at high level, 🇷🇺 strikes below 7-day average ■ Troop losses well above 7-day average ■ 12 MLRS destroyed in the last 7 days ■ Oryx: 116 🇷🇺 22 🇺🇦 net change - largest 🇷🇺 addition since Oct 18, 2022 📈 https://t.co/XpWqNgUkA4 pic.twitter.com/n8arrrhZbQ — Ragnar Gudmundsson 🇮🇸🇺🇦 (@ragnarbjartur) October 22, 2023 x Oryx confirms Ukraine destroyed nine Russian helicopters with ATACMS missiles Another 15 were damaged in Ukraine's ATACMS strikes on Berdiansk and Luhansk airfields, the @oryxspioenkop OSINT group said https://t.co/NihWfLa9o7 📷 Front Intelligence Insight pic.twitter.com/MJ0xmMA34A — Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) October 22, 2023 x 🚿 Shower thoughts: Turns out US missile expiration dates are like the expiration dates on store-bought salt. We really ought to send Ukraine all of our expired missiles. Rather than paying to dismantle them, the missiles can help destroy the remaining 50% of Russia's military.✊ pic.twitter.com/5ikfqmKIre — Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) October 22, 2023 Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast) Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line and made confirmed advances. Geolocated footage posted on October 22 indicates that Russian forces advanced southwest of Pershotravneve (21km northeast of Kupyansk), southwest of Yahidne (22km southeast of Kupyansk), and east of Terny (17km west of Kreminna).[29] A Russian news aggregator claimed on October 21 that Russian forces achieved unspecified success in the Serebryanske forest area (10km southwest of Kremmina).[30] The Ukrainian General Staff reported on October 22 that Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked near Synkivka (8km northeast of Kupyansk), Ivanivka (20km southeast of Kupyansk), Nadiya (15km west of Svatove), Bilohorivka (12km south of Kreminna), the Serebryanske forest area (10km southwest of Kreminna), and Spirne (25km south of Kreminna).[31] ... Ukrainian military observer Konstantyn Mashovets reported that Russian forces temporarily halted offensive operations near Ivanivka in order to respond to reported Ukrainian advances towards Orlyanka (22km east of Kupyansk).[33] Mashovets reported that elements of the Russian 2nd Motorized Rifle Division (1st Tank Army, Western Military District) have reinforced Russian forces in the Kupyansk direction,… Ukrainian Ground Forces Command Spokesperson Lieutenant Colonel Volodymyr Fityo stated that Russian forces are transferring reserves consisting mostly of Storm-Z convict recruits to the Kupyansk and Lyman directions.[35] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas) Ukrainian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut on October 22 and reportedly advanced. Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets stated that Ukrainian forces are intensifying their operations along the Bakhmut-Horlivka railway line and claimed that Ukrainian forces crossed the railway line north of Zelonopillya (12km southwest of Bakhmut).[38] The Russian MoD claimed that Ukrainian forces unsuccessfully attacked near Bohdanivka (5km northwest of Bakhmut) and Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut).[39] www.understandingwar.org/... Russian forces continued ground attacks near Avdiivka on October 22 and made a confirmed marginal advance south of Avdiivka. Geolocated footage published on October 21 indicates that Russian forces marginally advanced southeast of Pervomaiske (11km southwest of Avdiivka).[46] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks near Keramik (10km northwest of Avdiivka), Stepove (3km northwest of Avdiivka), Avdiivka, Tonenke (5km west of Avdiivka), Opytne (3km southwest of Avdiivka), Nevelske, and Pervomaiske.[47] www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... www.understandingwar.org/... 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