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Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Tom Emmer didn't last until evening [1]

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Date: 2023-10-25  

Jennifer Bendery/via Threadreader from X/Twitter:

Get to know Rep. Mike Johnson (R-La.), the GOP's latest speaker nominee. He voted to overturn the 2020 presidential election by fueling a lie about widespread voter fraud that led to an insurrection at the Capitol building. Johnson also signed onto a Texas amicus brief in support of throwing out votes in swing states… Here is Mike Johnson on the morning of Jan. 6, 2021, just hours before Trump supporters stormed the Capitol to try to kill lawmakers and prevent the election results from being certified because they believed Trump's Big Lie about widespread voter fraud: [Tweet quote: We MUST fight for election integrity, the Constitution, and the preservation of our republic! It will be my honor to help lead that fight in the Congress today.The statement I drafted summarizes our position and the legal analysis that supports it.]

Who is Mike Johnson? He is an insurrectionist, and not someone who should be speaker. But the insider guess is that he will be. And that’s because of those who have run, he has the least number of House Republicans who personally dislike him (what, you thought elections are about policy?)

Well, an Elise Stefanik congratulations is a hopeful sign, as all of her other speaker-designate subjects have lost. As Chad Pergram put it:

x GOP taps yet ANOTHER Speaker designee. GOP LA Rep Mike Johnson. 2nd Speaker nominee of the day. 4th one for the GOP in the last 2 weeks — Chad Pergram (@ChadPergram) October 25, 2023

Keep in mind GOP has a lot more guys named Mike they can throw up there if they need them.

HuffPost:

Tom Emmer Wins House GOP Nomination To Be Speaker The Minnesota Republican only needed a majority of his party’s support for the nomination. It’s unclear if he can actually become speaker. It’s unclear if Emmer can get 217 out of the 221 House Republicans to back him on the floor. If he can’t, he’ll either need to sway the holdouts somehow or give up. The House has ceased functioning as a legislative body since Republicans ousted Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) from the speaker’s office earlier this month. Republicans have since rejected two possible replacements after they won internal votes but couldn’t garner the near-unanimity of the conference. Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-Wis.) told reporters Tuesday, “Look at the last two weeks. It seems like nobody can get to 217.”

Yeah, it’s old news. But it wasn’t old news when it was written less than 24 hours ago. He lasted four hours.

Make sure you include this for your complete collection of Elise Stefanik congratulating a speaker-designate.

x I asked Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers why no GOP women have run for speaker: “We’re wiser.” — Haley Byrd Wilt 🌻 (@byrdinator) October 24, 2023

Politico:

House Democrats are signaling they could help a GOP speaker nominee. But the GOP isn't interested. Republican speaker candidates aren’t in any mood to cut a deal with Democrats. “It’s not helpful to make reference to specific House members that might be willing to pursue this path. Because what we learned last week is that then their support erodes in in their caucus,” said Rep. Annie Kuster (D-N.H.), chair of the centrist New Democrats.

x Meadows went before federal Grand Jury under an immunity arrangement, and appears to have gutted Trump in the process. pic.twitter.com/2Bk05hInzA — Neal Katyal (@neal_katyal) October 24, 2023

The idea that Jenna Ellis pleaded guilty and Mark Meadows was offered immunity on the same day an insurrectionist was chosen to run for speaker is … something. The GOP is begging American voters to reject them. I say we give them what they are begging for.

Greg Sargent/Washington Post:

The quiet vindication of Hakeem Jeffries When Democrats refused to save Kevin McCarthy from the hard-right faction of House members who ousted the California Republican as speaker earlier this month, the pundit recriminations were thunderous and damning: Democrats had “burned” future possibilities of bipartisanship. They’d squandered a chance to own “the adult brand.” They should have “saved the country” but betrayed it instead. But now, with Republicans still struggling to elect a speaker, Democrats’ strategy — largely charted by Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries — is plainly working. The New York Democrat’s approach to navigating the GOP’s disaster isn’t just proving to be good politics for his party; it’s likely to produce a better result for the country as well. Only weeks ago, Jeffries faced stern questioning from reporters on whether his party would provide the votes to rescue McCarthy and prevent the House from plunging into prolonged chaos. But this affair shows that when Democrats ignore the disapproval of the pundit class, the spotlight turns back on GOP efforts to quell their mania within. It has forced Republicans to vote on whether a full-blown MAGA firebrand such as Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan really merits the awesome powers of the speakership.

Jamelle Bouie/New York Times:

Millennials and Gen Z Are Tilting Left and Staying There As the saying goes, if you’re not a liberal when you’re young, then you have no heart, and if you’re not a conservative when you’re old, you have no brain. The idea, of course, is that liberalism is a game for the youth and that age brings security, stability and a natural resistance to change. The upshot, in American politics, is that while most voters might start on the center-left, with Democrats, they’ll end their political journey on the center-right, with Republicans. One party represents disruption and change; the other party represents a steady hand and the status quo. Or at least that’s the story. The reality is a little more complicated. Not only does our narrative of political change over time exaggerate the degree of rightward drift among different people as they age, but there’s also good evidence that for the youngest generations of Americans, it is hardly happening at all. The evidence comes from a new Wall Street Journal analysis of the latest data from the General Social Survey, a comprehensive examination of American attitudes and beliefs, conducted since its creation in 1972 by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago.

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