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Ukraine Invasion Day 628: intensifying attacks against RU logistics and high-profile assets [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2023-11-12 Ukraine appears to be intensifying attacks against Russian military, logistics, and other high-profile assets in rear areas in occupied Ukraine and Russia. he Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported on November 12 that Ukrainian partisans attacked a Russian military headquarters in occupied Melitopol, Zaporizhia Oblast on November 11, killing at least three Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) and Rosgvardia officers.[1] The GUR’s November 12 announcement follows a Ukrainian partisan attack against a former Luhansk People’s Republic (LNR) People’s Militia head on November 8; strikes against a Russian military base in occupied Skadovsk, Kherson Oblast and Black Sea Fleet assets in Crimea on November 9; and three rear-area strikes and partisan attacks in Russia on November 11.[2] Ukrainian forces have conducted a strike campaign specifically targeting occupied Crimea since summer 2023.[3] www.understandingwar.org/... x One last photo for occupiers and their armored equipment in Ukraine. 📹: Special group “Alpha” of the @ServiceSsu pic.twitter.com/41MLBgBUyO — Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) November 12, 2023 In an interview with VOA Ukrainian, retired US General David Petraeus discussed how Ukraine can defeat Russia in the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war. Petraeus, a former CIA Director, emphasized that Ukraine will need to continue demonstrating unwavering national commitment and creativity. Petraeus advised Ukraine to persist with resolve and innovation in order to prevail over Russia’s military with backing from NATO countries. He said Ukraine is fighting with advanced but not cutting-edge Western weapons. Asked what weapon could really turn the tide of the war, Petreaus said he believes it’s more likely a combination of several weapons systems. The US has already provided some of those, such as the ATACMS ballistic missiles with cluster warhead. But it will be very important to provide F-16 fighter jets, “which are likely to be delivered to the Ukrainian Air Force this winter. I believe that Ukrainian pilots are exceptional, and they will quickly switch from MiG and SU aircraft to F-16s,” Petraeus said, adding that Ukraine also needs more drones, air defense systems, and counter-battery systems. euromaidanpress.com/... The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) is pursuing three simultaneous and overlapping force generation efforts as it seeks to manage short- to medium-term requirements in Ukraine while also pursuing long-term restructuring to prepare for a potential future large-scale conventional war against NATO. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the General Staff Army General Valery Gerasimov have explicitly framed Russia’s announced long-term force restructuring as increasing conventional capabilities against NATO.[1] The Russian MoD is also creating new formations intended as reinforcements for Russia’s war in Ukraine separate from the peacetime Russian force structure, specifically the several new formations reportedly forming entirely in occupied areas of Ukraine and under the command and control of operationalized “groupings of forces” in Ukraine rather than under existing Russian military districts. The MoD appears to be undermining its long-term restructuring effort, however, by rushing some new formations - which were likely intended to form a strategic reserve or be the basis of long-term force restructuring – as rapid reinforcements to Russian forces in Ukraine. The Russian MoD’s use of ongoing force structure changes to rush newly created and understrength formations to Ukraine will likely impede the accomplishment of the parallel objective of restructuring Russian ground forces to orient on conventional warfare with NATO as the main adversary. www.understandingwar.org/... x 5. Putin & all his war criminals are prosecuted & sentenced. 6. Putin is ousted. 7. Putin's authoritarian kleptocracy regime must be brought down. This should be the task of the whole West & not only the heroic Ukrainians. There is so much more the West can & should do. — Anders Åslund (@anders_aslund) November 12, 2023 x This is one of the most ridiculously amazing feats I have ever seen from a drone pilot. pic.twitter.com/cEZQrDQg1x — Andrew Perpetua (@AndrewPerpetua) November 11, 2023 Key Takeaways: Ukraine appears to be intensifying attacks against Russian military, logistics, and other high-profile assets in rear areas in occupied Ukraine and Russia. The Russian government is attempting to downplay the extent of its efforts to strengthen control over the Russian information space. Russia continues to posture itself as a prominent security guarantor for authoritarian countries in Africa. Russian forces conducted a limited series of missile strikes targeting southern Ukraine on November 12. Russian forces continued offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Ukrainian forces made a marginal gain on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast on November 12 amid ongoing ground operations. x ⚡️ WAR IN #UKRAINE - NOV 12 ■ Strikes close to average, combat engagements above ■ Record high 7-day troop losses, 4th highest daily losses ■ Equipment losses above average as well ■ Special equipment, APVs & artillery well above average 📈 https://t.co/fT2ZWUtSBH pic.twitter.com/AZ4KAdSRtm — Ragnar Gudmundsson 🇮🇸🇺🇦 (@ragnarbjartur) November 12, 2023 x First-person view footage from a drone by the Signum unit of Ukraine's 93rd brigade, hitting a Russian military truck 📹 https://t.co/PnIFJlUut9 pic.twitter.com/mzN87duJYq — Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) November 13, 2023 Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast) Russian forces continued offensive operations on the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line on November 12 and made confirmed advances. Geolocated footage published on November 12 shows that Russian forces advanced to positions west of Serhiivka (13km west of Svatove), corroborating Russian claims that Russian forces captured Serhiivka.[13] A Russian news aggregator claimed that Russian forces advanced near Lyman Pershi (12km northeast of Kupyansk), Kyslivka (20km southeast of Kupyansk), and Makiivka (22km northwest of Kreminna) on November 11.[14] The Ukrainian General Staff reported on November 12 that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful assaults near Synkivka (8km northeast of Kupyansk), Petropavlivka (7km east of Kupyansk), Ivanivka (20km southeast of Kupyansk), Stelmakhivka (15km northwest of Svatove), Nadiya (15km southwest of Svatove), Novoyehorivka (16km southwest of Svatove), and the Serebryanske forest area (11km south of Kreminna).[15] ... Ukrainian Ground Forces Command Spokesperson Lieutenant Colonel Volodymyr Fityo stated that Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction but are regrouping because Russian forces have not achieved strategic successes in the past month of fighting.[17] Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas) Ukrainian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut on November 12 but did not make any confirmed gains. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces continued to conduct assaults south of Bakhmut.[21] The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that elements of the Russian Southern Grouping of Forces repelled five Ukrainian assaults near Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut) and Kurdyumivka (13km southwest of Bakhmut).[22] Russian forces continued limited localized offensive operations near Bakhmut on November 12 but did not make any confirmed advances. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled more than 10 Russian assaults near Dubovo-Vasylivka (8km northwest of Bakhmut), Khromove (immediately west of Bakhmut), Klishchiivka, and Andriivka (10km southwest of Bakhmut).[23] Ukrainian Ground Forces Command Spokesperson Lieutenant Colonel Volodymyr Fityo reported that Ukrainian forces also repelled Russian assaults near Ivanivske (6km west of Bakhmut) and that Russian forces are conducting an active defense near Bakhmut.[24] Ukrainian Ground Forces Commander Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi stated that Russian forces have increased attempts to recapture previously lost positions in the Bakhmut direction.[25] frontelligence.substack.com/... We maintain skepticism about the russians advancing into Berdychi from Stepove, for various reasons, including logistical challenges. While russian forces have an alternative to exert pressure on Berdychi from the north, it comes with the drawback of overextending their logistics, leaving them vulnerable. frontelligence.substack.com/... Russian forces continued offensive operations around Avdiivka on November 12 but did not make any confirmed gains. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled over 18 Russian assaults near Avdiivka, Sieverne (6km west of Avdiivka), Tonenke (6km west of Avdiivka), and Pervomaiske (11km southwest of Avdiivka).[29] … A Ukrainian Telegram channel specifically covering the tactical situation around Avdiivka claimed on November 11 that Ukrainian forces pushed Russian forces out of Stepove after Russian forces had temporarily established positions in the settlement.[31] ISW has not observed visual evidence of Russian forces holding positions on the outskirts of Stepove or in the settlement itself. x ⚡ Large-scale Russian losses near Avdiivka Ukraine 🐉 The work of the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade together with adjacent units. pic.twitter.com/FvB2k0yKZQ — Slava (@Heroiam_Slava) November 12, 2023 Ukrainian forces recently made marginal gains in western Donetsk Oblast and reportedly conducted limited ground attacks on November 12. Geolocated footage published on November 11 shows that Ukrainian forces made marginal advances northeast of Mykilske (3km southeast of Vuhledar).[37] The Russian MoD claimed on November 12 that elements of the Russian Eastern Grouping of Forces repelled a Ukranian assault near Mykilske.[38] x Help me protect life in Ukraine. Last year, many of you joined me in a @U24_gov_ua project to fund an anti-drone system. I very much hope you will join me in a new fundraiser to spread the drone-detection system throughout the country. Please help.https://t.co/WDFNRzH4t4 — Timothy Snyder (@TimothyDSnyder) November 12, 2023 [END] --- [1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/11/12/2205273/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-628-logistics-and-current-combat-operations?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web Published and (C) by Daily Kos Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified. via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds: gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/