(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . Just the Stats, Man: Weekly Canvass Wrapup from AZ, FL, GA, MD, MI, MT, NC, NV, OH, PA, TX & WI [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2024-06-15 Hope Springs from Field volunteers knocked on 411,368 doors last week. That’s 65,000 more doors than we hit the prior weekend. At every door, we left a piece of literature touting Biden and the Democrats, which remains our biggest expense (by far). Turnout among our volunteers is pretty much focused on preventing another Trump disaster. Even in states that don’t have an abortion-related amendment on the ballot in November, the national conversation about Reproductive Freedom and the Trump threat (even if unacknowledged) and a National Abortion Ban seems to be driving volunteers to show up everywhere. Volunteers talked to 34,556 voters in these eleven states. Of those, 22,031 voters answered questions on our Issues Survey, at least in part. 20,000 voters surveyed a week was another milestone we set for ourselves. We are getting responses from more than 20-40 times more voters than public pollsters are reporting, and we are doing this every week. It just has to be said. We began knocking on doors again in Arizona (and Florida) on March 2nd, talking to voters, collecting signatures for the Abortion Ballot Initiative, raising the Democratic banner and collecting data that will help Democratic candidates get voters to the polls in 2024. Hope Springs volunteers have now collected 54,274 verified petitions from valid Arizona voters who live at the address from which they are registered (we match voters with their address to petitions on an ongoing basis) . Hope Springs from Field understands that volunteer to voter personal interactions are critical. Knocking on doors has repeatedly been found to be the most successful tactic to get voters to cast a ballot and that is the goal of what we do. Obviously, we rely on grassroots support, so if you support field/grassroots organizing, voter registration (and follow-up) and our efforts to protect our voters, we would certainly appreciate your support: Hope Springs from Field PAC began knocking on doors again on March 2nd. We target Democrats and unaffiliated voters with a systematic approach that reminds them not only that Democrats care, but Democrats are determined to deliver the best government possible to all Americans. In total, Hope Springs volunteers have now collected 153,259 verified petitions from valid voters in the four states who live at the address from which they were registered to get Reproductive Rights amendments on the November ballot. This is not the number of signatures volunteers have collected but the number volunteers have turned in and organizers have matched to ensure the signer was registered to vote at the address they provided on the petition. Hope Springs volunteers registered 248 new voters and re-registered 393 voters at their current address. We differentiate new registrants from re-registrants because we engage in follow-up communications with the people that we (newly) register to vote. If you are interested in participating in our Postcards to New Voters Project , you can sign up here . (The diary on this can be found here .) We especially need help this year since we are not limiting our Postcards to New Voters effort to those new voters that Hope Springs or its partners registered to vote but to all the New Voters that we have volunteers willing to write to in these Swing States. The effort of Trump’s conviction continues to help President Biden’s approval among the voters. The bump is really stark, which is why it bears repeating. If nothing else, it reversed the downward trend. Hopefully the upward trend continues! In Arizona, 416 volunteers came out to knock on doors last Saturday in the eastern and southern suburbs of Phoenix and Tucson. We knocked on 28,787 doors in Arizona and talked to 2,518 voters. 1,622 of those voters answered at least some of the questions on our Issues Survey. We registered 11 new voters and re-registered 47 voters. 213 voters filled out Constituent Service Request forms. 5 voters filled out Incident Reports. (Rising) Prices and/or Inflation was the Number 1 issue for the Arizonans we talked to on Saturday. (Political) Extremism was the #2 issue voters raised. Border Security or Immigration was third. Biden Approval remained steady among the Arizonans we talked to at 54% last Saturday. Disapproval was 10%. 22% approved of Sinema, while 26% disapproved. Voters seem to have really stopped thinking about the Senator. 54% of the voters we talked to on Saturday approved of the likely Democratic Senate nominee, Ruben Gallego. 55% approved of the Governor, Katie Hobbs. 7% disapproved. 582 volunteers came out last Saturday, knocked on 42,951 doors and talked to 4,179 voters. 2,703 Issues Surveys were completed, and 38 new voters registered and 42 voters re-registered (all using the Secretary of State website). 169 voters filled out Constituent Service Request forms. 6 voters filled out Incident Reports. Hope Springs volunteers have collected 59,935 verified petitions from valid voters who lived at the address from which they were registered. We match voter data with the voter database for those who sign the petitions our volunteers circulate before submitting them. The Top Issue in Florida last Saturday was something we’ve been calling Summer Worries. Heat, hurricanes, tourist traffic — that kind of thing. Insurance Issues was the second most frequently cited Issue; price increases, dropped coverage, sharp increases in deductibles. The Economy was the third. 54% of the voters we talked to approved of the job President Biden is doing in Florida. 10% disapproved. 15% approved of the job Rick Scott was doing; 41% disapproved. 14% approved of the job Ron DeSantis is doing; 38% disapproved. 608 volunteers came out to knock on doors last Saturday in the Atlanta suburbs and in southern Georgia Blackbelt counties. We knocked on 45,782 doors and talked to 4,065 voters. 2,589 of those voters answered at least some of our questions on our Issues Survey. We registered 77 new voters and re-registered 52 voters. Note the fact that Hope Springs volunteers registered more new voters than re-registrations (again!), largely a result of our efforts to find and register voters in Counties where African-Americans have been historically suppressed. 294 voters filled out Constituent Service Request forms, and 7 voters filled out Incident Reports. Economic Uncertainty was the Top Issue in Georgia on Saturday. Housing Availability, Costs and Housing Insurance Costs was second. Reproductive Freedom or Rights was third. We are still collecting data on single issue voters, and it doesn’t really seem to matter if “abortion is on the ballot” or not — right now, voters tell us, abortion is definitely on the ballot. Biden Approval among the Georgians we talked to was 58% last Saturday. 7% of the voters we talked to disapproved of the president. 28% approved of the Governor, Brian Kemp. 27% disapproved. 337 volunteers came out last Saturday for just our fourth week of canvassing in Maryland. Volunteers knocked on 24,499 doors and talked to 1,933 voters. 1,250 answered questions on our Issues Survey. We registered 2 new voters and re-registered 18 voters at their current address. 61 voters completed Constituent Service Request forms. (Rising) Prices and/or Inflation was the Number 1 Issue with the voters we talked to. Infrastructure Needs was second. Healthcare (Costs) Concerns was third. Biden Approval among the voters we talked to was 57% last Saturday in Maryland. 6% of the voters we talked to disapproved of the president. 43% approved of Democratic Senate nominee Angela Alsobrooks. 56% approved of the Governor Moore. 7% disapproved. 536 volunteers came out to knock on doors in Michigan last Saturday in our third canvass of this year (too). We knocked on 40,575 doors last Saturday. Michigan was one of six states where we knocked on 40,000 doors or more. Volunteers talked to 3,627 voters. 2,346 of those voters answered questions to at least part of the Issues Survey. We registered 18 voters and re-registered 42 voters at their current address. 78 voters completed Constituent Service Request forms. (Rising) Prices and/or Inflation was the Number 1 Issue in Michigan on Saturday. Housing Availability, Costs and Housing Insurance Costs was second. Education was third. Biden Approval among the voters we talked to was 54% last Saturday. 8% disapproved of the president. 54% approved of the Governor Whitmer. 7% disapproved. In Montana, we are not officially canvassing right now. We are cutting turf for the volunteers who want to circulate petitions, of the Democrats who live in their area. This was requested as many Montanans are unaware of their fellow Democrats, especially those voters who are not active or vocal. So far, we have distributed 273 pieces of turf for this purpose; several volunteers have taken multiple walk lists for their signature gathering efforts. So far, we have validated or verified the voter status and address of 9,014 voter signatures in Montana. Petitions have to be turned in by June 21st, and we will resume our normal type of canvassing after then. In Nevada, 349 volunteers came out to canvass in the Las Vegas area (NV-01 & NV-03) and Reno suburbs. We knocked on 25,721 doors and talked to 2,029 voters. 1,272 answered questions on our Issues Survey. We registered 7 new voters and re-registered 26 voters, updating their current address. 116 voters completed Constituent Service Request forms. 4 voters completed Incident Reports. Housing Availability, Costs and Housing Insurance Costs was the Top Issue in Nevada last Saturday. We are increasingly hearing voters complain about all aspects of housing issues right now — and everywhere. (Rising) Prices and/or Inflation was second. The prospect of Political Violence was third. Several voters talked about being afraid right now. Biden Approval among the voters we talked to was 55% last Saturday. 9% disapproved of the president. 55% approved of their Senator, Jacky Rosen. Rosen is definitely in for a fight, not because she has a competitive opponent, but because the political environment in Nevada is tumultuous right now. 7% disapproved. 26% approved of the Governor, Joe Lombard. 26% disapproved. 533 volunteers came out to knock on doors last Saturday in North Carolina. We are focusing on the new (NC Republicans gerrymandered the state again this year) North Carolina Congress-ional District map, and, specifically, NC-01, NC-07, NC-09 and NC-13, this year. We knocked on 39,815 doors and talked to 3,517 voters. 2,305 of those voters answered at least some of our questions on our Issues Survey. We registered 47 new voters and re-registered 35 voters. 188 voters filled out Constituent Service Request forms and 6 voters filled out Incident Reports. Economic Uncertainty was the Top Issue in North Carolina on Saturday. Housing Availability, Costs and Housing Insurance Costs was second. Concern over Immigration was third (which is kinda funny because we crossed over to Mexico waiting for my wife’s family and when we returned i asked the CBP guys about how many immigrants had been let in — and he replied, no one since (Biden’s) executive order. Which might be good politically but it probably means the price of food is going to go up). Biden Approval among the voters we talked to was 54% last Saturday. 9% disapproved of the president. 53% approved of the Governor, Roy Cooper. 10% disapproved. 573 volunteers showed up last Saturday in Ohio to knock on doors in the competitive OH-01, OH-09 and OH-13 Congressional Districts. They knocked on 42,230 doors on Saturday. Hope Springs volunteers talked to 3,319 voters, and 2,147 voters answered questions from at least part of the Issues Survey. We registered 8 new voters and re-registered 37 voters, updating their current address. 283 voters completed Constituent Service Request forms. (Rising) Prices or Inflation was the Number 1 issue for the Ohioans we talked to on Saturday. Housing Concerns and Insurance (Price) Increases was the #2 issue voters raised. Crime was third. Biden’s Job Approval was at 55%; 7% expressed some measure of Disapproval. 56% of the voters who responded Approved of the job Sen. Brown was doing while 7% expressed Disapproval. 28% of the voters we talked to thought Gov. DeWine was doing a good job, 35% said they disapproved of the job he was doing. 561 volunteers showed up to knock on doors in the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh regions last Saturday. They knocked on 41,906 doors and talked to 3,046 voters. 1,940 voters completed questions on our Issues Survey, at least in part. For a second week in a row, it was our most successful canvass yet (ie, 2024) in Pennsylvania. We registered 21 new voters and re-registered 32 voters, updating their current address. 274 voters completed Constituent Service Request forms and 3 voters filled out Incident Reports. The Economy was the Top Issue last Saturday in the state. Education concerns was the Second most cited Issue. Housing Availability, Costs and Housing Insurance Costs was third. Biden’s Job Approval was at 56%; 8% expressed some measure of Disapproval. 58% of the voters who responded Approved of the job Sen. Casey was doing while 8% said they Disapproved. 51% of the voters we talked to thought Gov. Shapiro was doing a good job, 10% said they disapproved of the job he was doing. 641 volunteers came out to knock on doors last Saturday in Texas. Again, heat was a factor is some of the areas where we were knocking on doors (and we expect that to be true today). We knocked on 43,844 doors and talked to 3,275 voters. 1,955 of those voters answered at least some of our questions on our Issues Survey. We registered 18 new voters and re-registered 42 voters. 237 voters filled out Constituent Service Request forms. 6 voters filled out Incident Reports. (Rising) Prices or Inflation (inflation is a term we don’t hear as much as we did last year) was the Top Issue in Texas. Immigration and Border Security was second and Elections/Security was third. Biden Approval among the Texans we talked to was 52% last Saturday. 11% of the voters we talked to disapproved of the president. 11% of the voters voiced approval of Ted Cruz; 33% disapproved. We have also been asking about job approval of Colin Allred, the Democrat running against Ted Cruz. 42% of the voters we talked to approved of the job he’s been doing. 15% approved of the Governor, Greg Abbot. 38% disapproved. 472 volunteers came out to canvass in Wisconsin in Milwaukee (where we are canvassing in African-American wards) and its suburbs (the WOW counties), as well as Kenosha, Waukesha and Dane counties. Hope Springs volunteers knocked on 35,258 doors and talked to 2,986 voters. 1,902 of those voters answered at least some of our questions on the Issues Survey. We registered 7 new voters and re-registered 26 voters. 59 voters filled out Constituent Service Request forms. 2 voters filled out Incident Reports. Housing Availability, Costs and Housing Insurance Costs was the Top Concern among the Wisconsin voters we talked to on Saturday. The Economy was the second most frequently cited concern. Voter Concerns over Political Violence was third. People mentioned fears of a Civil War last Saturday, which i would think would be very far away from Wisconsin but, you know, talk radio. Biden’s Approval numbers in Wisconsin was 55% last Saturday. His Disapproval number was 8%. Senator Baldwin’s Job Approval was 56% with 8% of the voters we talked to on Saturday expressing Disapproval. Approval of Governor Evers, meanwhile, was 51%; Disapproval was 11% last Saturday. I do want to repeat that if you are interested in participating in our Postcards to New Voters Project, you can sign up here. (The diary on this can be found here.) We especially need help this year since we are not limiting our Postcards to New Voters effort to those new voters that Hope Springs or its partners registered to vote. Basically, every new voter in the swing Congressional Districts in our Swing States will be included in this effort for 2024. And if you are able to support this kind of intensive grassroots organizing and voter contact, we would certainly appreciate your financial support: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/hopemobilization2024 We canvass with an Issues Survey that is our jumping off point of conversations with voters. We find this is an easy way to begin the canvass season. All the data we collect will be entered into VAN, the Democratic database. We knock on the doors of Democratic and Independent voters. At every door, we leave a piece of “show the flag” lit, something that tells them we were there and hopefully reinforces the Democratic brand. The lit focuses on the things voters told us were important to them last fall, aiming to appeal to every voter. We also ask voters if they have an problems that local, state or federal governments need to address in their neighborhoods. But the main focus of our canvassing right now is the Issues Survey, asking voters for their input and concerns. We find that most voters who aren’t in a hurry or in the middle of something are willing to answer at least a couple of these questions, especially their top issue or concern and their views of President Biden. Voter responses to the questionnaire are entered into VAN and made available to all Democratic candidates who use VAN in the state after the primary. Creating this kind of data isn’t done with a specific goal in mind but has the purpose of engaging voters and creating a dataset that any Democratic candidate can use in opposition to a Republican. Hope Springs from Field has a hybrid approach. We aren’t interested in competing with regular campaign field organizing. We are in the field before they get there and then move on when the Democratic campaigns start their own intensive field work. Indeed, when we wind up the typical field work by Labor Day, we will encourage all the volunteers working with us to move over to the Senate campaigns in their states (and hope that our field organizers will be hired on by those campaigns). After Labor Day, we will begin organizing our Election Protection Project. We also ask voters if they have any concerns about the upcoming elections. Last year, we walked with lit about the changes in voting laws, but we also asked voters about their fears and experience in prior elections. So far there haven’t been significant changes in the laws but we still ask about fears and experience vis-a-vis elections. Voters who say they have experience voter intimidation or other problems with voting are asked to fill out Incident Reports. Hope Springs has targeted states that have competitive Senate races and/or the Electoral College in 2024, as well as districts that are remapped in ways that offer opportunities or vulnerabilities for Democrats next year (specifically those where a Republican won a Congressional District that voted for Biden in 2022). There is a lot of work to be done! Especially since we have had to expand the map this year. By starting early, and aiming towards super-compliance with these really, really onerous provisions, Hope Springs from Field seeks to undermine Republican efforts to throw Democrats off the voter rolls, informing voters about the new laws and regulations aimed at them. There’s a lot of work to be done, but fortunately, the three states that are making it most difficult are also states in which you can knock on doors at least 10 months out of the year. And, with your help, we will be there, getting our people to super-comply with these restrictive provisions. 2023 Hope Springs expenses We are also — this being an election year — adding the Post Cards to New Voters component back into our Voter Outreach, both New Voters we find at their doors as well as New Voters we target in the Voter File. [END] --- [1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/6/15/2246792/-Just-the-Stats?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=more_community&pm_medium=web Published and (C) by Daily Kos Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified. via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds: gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/