(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . DEM INSIDER VERY CONFIDENT ; BIDEN WILL WIN BY A MILE Interview w/ DEM OFFICIAL in OR [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2024-06-22 Earlier this year, I joined the Democratic Partys “Neighborhood Leader Program”, aka the NLP. The NLP was first pioneered about ten years ago in Washington County, OR!! It’s slowly being expanded across the US as other state Dem Party orgs. adopt this very effective model. By being involved with them, I was in contact w/ many other Dem leaders in OR. That’s my source for this interview. The leader I chose uses a code name: “DD”. I interviewed her on 6-19-2024. These are her comments and opinions. Since DD has an inside scoop on news and events, I wanted to hear her thoughts on both Joe Biden and other Nov contenders. I was a little surprised- but pleasantly!! She said “I’m very positive [about November]. He’ll win [Biden] by a large margin”. She went on to say that she believes Dems “will win back the House, win the White House, and take back the Senate majority by 4 seats”!! That is a more optimistic view than I have, but she had several reasons to give for her level of conviction about Dem success in the coming elections. DD also said that “there are a lot of positives in thinking that way”. In short, she believes that with a more positive view of the outcome, more Dems. and Inds., as well as more moderate Repubs., will gravitate toward Biden and the Dems in November. In that, I feel the same way- think positive, and take several actions to make it happen in Nov . She acknowledged that she has subscribed to the Hopium Newsletter of Simon Rosenberg, and is echoing some of his thinking. I asked her “why are you so confident of the outcome of the Nov. elections?”, and this is (in brief) her reply. “Roe vs Wade is my first reason for believing in a big win”. She noted that it’s a very big, and very important issue. The problem is the mainstream press not covering the strength and depth of that issue. I take no issue with her on either of those points! She went on to say “the press wants to see a horse race, for their own reasons”. This was absolutely no surprise to me, of course. Number two, she cited the case that “the Supreme Court has led to a big loss in confidence of their {judgement}. TFDG got three of them onto the court”. In short, (paraphrased) Now the public can see the result of a very unbalanced SCOTUS, and will react by voting against Trump and Republicans in the election. “One of their most important mistakes was the Roe V Wade decision”, and there will be a big voter reaction in November!” Number three, the coming debate . DD said that “the debate will reveal to voters his current state of mind. It will also show the public who Trump is”. Again, no challenge or pushback from me. And I continue to think he loses either way. Show up and be seen for the unhinged convicted felon he is; or bail out and be decried as a coward, as well as a far-right candidate who won’t even participate in the time-honored tradition of debating with your opponent. We’ll soon find out. Number four: his mental and physical health. DD believes that voters will be increasingly concerned or worried about the former Presidents physical health as well as his mental health. It’s not just his age, but TDFG is not in good physical condition. More important, she noted, is his mental health. She said “I’ve been reading about his {mental health}, and following Dr John Gardner. He’s associated with the Duty to Warn organization…. he is seriously not well mentally”. Number five: “He is damaging his own prospects”, DD stated. “He can’t follow advice from campaign advisors or anyone.” She went on to say that the effect will be that “Moderate Republicans will Not vote for D Trump”. As a result, she believes that most swing states will not be backing Trump in November. She went on to state that: “I wouldn’t be surprised if all swing states go Democratic.” She went on to say: “I think a lot of moderate Rs will not vote for Trump, though they may vote for Rs in down-ballot races, depending on the state, and depending on who the R candidate is. I think there is too much variation in those races to speculate one way or another. Current polling (which is suspect, at best) shows that Dem down-ballot candidates are polling better than Biden in some swing states (like Ohio). But in the end, I still think we're going to do very well. I'd like to think Florida's in play but that's probably a bridge too far. But NC looks promising because of their Gen Z Dem Party Chair, Anderson Clayton. She is a 25-year-old phenom!” (Bolding and underlining are mine) In summary, I was very pleased to find someone who is More Enthusiastic & Positive about the elections in Nov/Roevember than myself- inside the Dem Party!! She gave a very good series of reasons for her confidence in Dem strength and high performance, with the Dobbs Decision as the Number One reason that Dems will win in a landslide election. Taking the House, the Senate, and the White House will not be easy or automatic. But keeping positive, and continuing to take action to make that happen is the key. By donating to candidates and the Dem party, volunteering on campaigns, writing Letters and/or Postcards to Voters, working on registering voters, or working on GOTV efforts will all help to win a Dem trifecta. One final pitch: The Dem Party needs volunteers in the NLP (Neighbohood Leader Program) across the US. Not all states use the same terminology, but all states/counties need volunteers like myself to help with sending postcards, knocking on doors (not a hard thing, really), and/or calling voters about getting the candidate recommendations, polling places & dates, and (most important) getting their ballots either mailed or turned in. Almost everyone can do this. If you’re at all interested, call your state or local Dem Party office. I’m confident that almost anyone can find a role to fit themselves!! Just do it! ****** All comments welcome. 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