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A theory of the cycle of fascism. [1]

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Date: 2024-06-26  

The Cycle of Fascism

Introduction

Human societies have historically oscillated between periods of authoritarianism and resistance, often resulting in cycles of conflict and realignment. This theory proposes that humans can be roughly categorized into three groups: authoritarian fascists, inquisitive and authoritarian-resistant leftists, and a large group of civility-centric centrists. Understanding the interactions between these groups can shed light on the recurrent cycle of fascism and the societal dynamics that enable it.

Group Classifications

Authoritarian Fascists: This group is characterized by a preference for strict hierarchical structures, often favoring authoritarian control and a propensity for nationalist or xenophobic ideologies. They tend to manipulate narratives to shift the Overton window (the range of acceptable political discourse) in their favor, often resorting to deception and fear-mongering to achieve their goals. Inquisitive and Authoritarian-Resistant Leftists: These individuals are typically resistant to authoritarianism and advocate for egalitarian principles, social justice, and democratic processes. They are more likely to challenge established norms and question authority, striving to expose injustices and promote systemic change. Civility-Centric Centrists: The largest group, centrists prioritize social harmony and stability. They are inclined to give both sides of a political argument the benefit of the doubt, assuming that each side presents their concerns honestly. Their primary goal is to maintain civility and avoid conflict, often positioning themselves as mediators between the more extreme factions.

The Cycle of Fascism

Phase 1: Shifting the Overton Window

Authoritarian fascists begin by subtly shifting the Overton window through a combination of propaganda, misinformation, and fear tactics. They exploit societal fears and economic uncertainties to gain support, framing their arguments in ways that resonate with the concerns of the centrists. The leftists, recognizing the authoritarian tendencies, push back with counter-narratives aimed at exposing the lies and manipulations of the fascists.

Phase 2: The Centrists' Dilemma

Centrists, committed to civility and open dialogue, are caught in a dilemma. They strive to be fair, giving equal weight to both sides. However, the fascists' propensity for deceit creates an imbalance. The centrists' tendency to assume honesty in the discourse works to the advantage of the fascists, as the latter's manipulations are often more subtle and insidious than the overt critiques of the leftists.

Phase 3: The Breaking Point

As tensions escalate, the centrists are pressured to take a definitive stance. Due to the fascists' strategic manipulation and the centrists' bias towards maintaining social order, they often side with the right. This alignment is perceived as the path of least resistance, promising stability and a return to normalcy. Unfortunately, this decision usually results in the suppression or defeat of the leftist resistance, leading to authoritarian control.

Phase 4: Authoritarian Collapse and Rebirth

Once in power, the authoritarian regime's inherent flaws—such as its reliance on deceit and short-term gains—begin to surface. The lack of foresight and unsustainable policies lead to internal and external conflicts, often culminating in war or significant social upheaval. This turmoil eventually destabilizes the regime, creating an environment ripe for a new cycle of resistance and realignment.

Conclusion

The cyclical nature of fascism and resistance is deeply rooted in the social dynamics between these three groups. The centrists' inclination towards civility and fairness, while noble, inadvertently perpetuates the cycle by failing to adequately address the inherent dishonesty and manipulation of the authoritarian fascists. To break this cycle, it is crucial for societies to develop a more nuanced understanding of these dynamics and foster a greater awareness of the tactics used by authoritarian movements. Only through such awareness can a sustainable balance be achieved, preventing the recurring descent into authoritarianism and conflict.

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/6/26/2248700/-A-theory-of-the-cycle-of-fascism?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=community_spotlight&pm_medium=web

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