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       On Magick and the forces of will
       June 05th, 2018
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       christyotwisty [0] asked a question on Mastodon tonight:
 (DIR) [0] christyotwisty
       
         Those who use #magick to #manifest a material desire: what is it
         about the manifestation that tells you it's magick and not
         Baader-Meinhof phenomenon?
       
       There's a lot to unpack in her request and I want to do it
       justice, hence why the answer is happening here on gopher rather
       than in a 500 character toot. 
       
       I want to proceed logically. Taking to heart what Voltaire said,
       "If you want to converse with me, first define your terms," I'll
       attempt to do that now.
       
       
                 ---------- Defining Terms ---------- 
       
 (TXT) [1] Magick
       
       The addition of the k to the end of magic has long been credited
       to Aleister Crowley's Thelema to differentiate the occult practice
       from stage magic and illusion. Since he coined the term I'll use
       his definition here: "the Science and Art of causing Change to
       occur in conformity with Will".
       
       His definition was quite loose, and if you read his works you'll
       see he uses the term interchangably to describe mundane acts, such
       as like reaching out and picking up a pencil, along side ritual
       magic which normally springs to mind. The idea that will can cause
       any change in an object that it would be normally capable of in
       nature is not surprising, then. With the right effort, anything
       can be achieved. This line of thinking conflates and contrasts the
       concepts of free will with destiny and leads to some... creative
       conclusions.
       
       For the purposes of this post I'm going to narrow Crowley's focus
       into just his later category of occult action of will to affect
       change. I suspect this is where christyotwisty was going with her
       question. As we proceed I'll try to further narrow this definition
       and cross-reference it with other, similar concepts.
       
       
       Frequency illusion
       
       As defined on Wikipedia's list of cognative biases: "The illusion
       in which a word, a name, or other thing that has recently come to
       one's attention suddenly seems to appear with improbable frequency
       shortly afterwards (not to be confused with the recency illusion
       or selection bias). This illusion is sometimes referred to as the
       Baader-Meinhof phenomenon."
       
       In addition to this specific illusion bias, I'll also try to
       address synchronicity and confirmation bias. There's really a host
       of mental phenomena which are all interrelated in the context of
       the question.
       
       
              ---------- Subject-matter clarification  ----------
       
       Before addressing the question directly I think I should say
       a word or two about the subject of magick itself. There is
       a strong divide between groups of people who entertain the idea of
       magick as a serious phenomenon and those who dismiss it as
       childish delusion. All too often, the former group is then
       stigmatized and preconceived prejudices run wild, which
       unfortunately make serious discussion all but impossible.
       
       I want to disuade that behavior by stretching the concept of
       magick to include similar practices that fall under more widely
       acceptable terminology. Remembering our core definition of
       magick--the use of will via occult (or paranormal) means to affect
       change--we can find many common practices that fit the mold.
       
       From the East:
 (TXT) [2] Qigong
 (TXT) [3] Tai Chi
       
       The entire system of Chinese medicine falls into this category,
       manipulating unseen energies through will and the use of natural
       actions, herbs, and meditation. Falun Gong, Prana, Tao Yin and so
       on also fit.
       
       From the West:
 (TXT) [4] Laying on of hands
 (TXT) [5] Exercism
 (TXT) [6] Hypnosis
       
       In the west there are many religious practices deeply rooted in
       Christianity which clearly fit the definition of magick we're
       using. Between the extremes of popular religious rites and the
       ridiculed parlor ritual there is a whole range of activity. Yoga,
       reiki, mindfullness medititation, and good old basic prayer all
       seek to affect some sort of change through the focus of primarily
       mental expressions of will.
       
       As you can see, the question here is not limited to casting spells
       in a circle under a full moon. You could reasonably reword
       christyotwisty's question:
       
         Those who pray for change: what tells you it's working and not
         just your mind playing a trick on you?
       
       
                ---------- Efficacy of Magick ---------- 
       
 (TXT) [7] Efficacy of Prayer
       
       Using the framework we've established, we can use the more
       mainstream magickal practices to explore the scientific
       investigations of occult phenomena. In the link above, there is
       a wealth of information about the difficulties in statistical
       inference and falsifiablity, measurability in general, and
       a survey of the types of studies that have been done. I'd strongly
       recommend reading that page cover-to-cover with an open mind.
       
       The most striking thing to me about the challenges of study and
       the measurability of outcomes is that we must take a sacred
       activity and measure it by elements that are profane (to use the
       terms of Mircea Elliade). Ultimately the change that should occur
       is a profane one, though. It must be concerned with the material
       world or else we're using our mind to change our mind, which
       doesn't seem to fit our narrow definition of magick. Perhaps using
       your mind to change the mind of another could fit, but the method
       would be the key deliniation (batting your eyes and winking can
       certainly create new thoughts in someone else but is that
       magick?).
       
       If our outcomes are limited to the physical then they are
       measurable. What comes next is to determine what action of will
       can create these effects at a significant rate above a control.
       This is a very rigorous way to avoid issues of the Baader-Meinhof
       phenomenon or other cognative biases.
       
       So what do studies of that have to say? From the article above,
       a "systemic review of intercessory prayer reported inconclusive
       results, noting that 7 of 17 studies had 'small, but significant,
       effect sizes' but the review noted that the three most
       methodologically rigorous studies failed to produce significant
       findings". Overall, there's just not a lot of rigorous research
       being done. Even if we did have reliable results, prayer
       represents only a small fraction of the occult magickal practices
       in the world, and prayer itself has thousands of forms and formats
       to consider.
       
       So where do we go from there? Let me start by pointing out that
       after thousands of years of advancement and the advent of western
       medicine, the Chinese still widely practice their traditional
       medicine. That alone speaks to its efficacy. The west is bringing
       over learnings from China every day.
       
       And that brings me to my next point: occult practices are occult
       because they are unknown. The paranormal describes things outside
       of normal experience. Occult practices once included metalurgy.
       What we don't fully understand is often ignored and denegrated
       rather than explored and investigated. There is a staggering
       amount of knowledge we have confirmed through science only
       hundreds of years of casual practice. As an example, the entire
       field of optics existed and flourished for centuries before we
       understood the science of shaping glass.
       
       Our understanding of the effects may be limited, but out
       understanding of the method is almost completely absent. In one of
       the prayer studies there was no significance in those prayed for
       vs those not, but there was a lift in those that knew they were
       being prayed for. Perhaps when it comes to immune responses we
       have a greater power to manipulate the physical in ourselves than
       in others through will alone. Perhaps this one of the infinite
       varieties of action wasn't the specific one needed.
       
       
                ---------- Narrowing the Scope ---------- 
                 
       Has any of this answered christyotwisty's pertenant question? Not
       quite yet. Let's reiterate in case you've forgotten where we're
       aiming with all this:
       
         Those who use #magick to #manifest a material desire: what is it
         about the manifestation that tells you it's magick and not
         Baader-Meinhof phenomenon?
       
       The question does not question that a manifestation has taken
       place, but instead seeks to understand how you can confidently
       credit it to the magickal act rather than any number of cognative
       biases or coincidence. To properly answer this I have to point to
       three seminal works in religious study:
       
       The Idea of the Holy (Das Heilige) by Rudolf Otto published in the
       early 20th century. It has never gone out of print and it has been
       absolutely instrumental in the development of comparative religion
       as a field of scholarly study. 
       
       The Sacred and the Profane by Mircea Elliade, who I referenced
       earlier. Elliade takes up the mantle that Otto laid down and takes
       it to the next level. Notably, he discusses how the myths and
       stories of a people lead to the creation of their symbols. Those
       symbols lead to an experience of hierophany, or a breaking through
       of the profane world to glimpse the Sacred and its Mysterium
       Tremendum, to feel fascinated, terrified, and infinitely the
       "creature" in the midst of creation. This relationship through
       culture and symbols to find a common experience of the Sacred
       crosses all known boundaries and shares almost identical patterns
       in the Eastern Orthodox Church as it does in Aboriginal tribes of
       Australia or the Lenape Indians in America.
       
       The Varieties of Religious Experience by William James. This was
       a book written from James' lectures in Scotland on the various
       types of personal expressions of religious understanding. There
       are many, many ways that people relate to the divine or the
       Sacred, even if they consider that Sacred an unconscious power and
       not a diety. Those experiences have many things in common and fit
       into categories that allow for discussion of the experience
       without having to dwell on the truth of that experience.
       
       Taken together these books tell a story without a narrative. It is
       the story of a people, of all people, and our relationship to
       powers beyond our conceptualization that we yearn for in a million
       ways and experience in glimpses between breaths. The truth of the
       stories that lead to these experiences is not as important as the
       fact that we all reach the same experiences once we get there. The
       symbols change, but that moment of connection with the divine is
       a spark of Truth that rings inside us and overwhelms doubt.
       
       Christy, you ask how you know whether your manifestation comes
       from magick. The science is still out, but the experience is
       redily accessible. Choose your own pathway and look for the Truth
       that resonates deep inside your spirit. Ultimately the confidence
       that something comes from a magickal place will come from an
       understanding that something has happened that is beyond the
       normal world and has pierced that layer separatating the Sacred.
       There is a feeling in it that can be communicated and shared.
       
       Ask a priest how they heard the call and watch for that smile.
       That's how you know.